Sustainable Aviation fuels will increase fuel prices 25% by 2050
From Aviation HQ@2:292/854 to All on Mon May 29 17:31:41 2023
The aviation sector will have to pay more if they switch from regular aviation kerosene to more sustainable fuels. "They will never be equal in price to kerosene." That is what CEO Dave Calhoun of aircraft manufacturer Boeing told the Financial Times. Manufacturing scale needs to be created and SAF needs to become more economic, "but I don't think that will ever happen," said Calhoun. More sustainable jet fuels or Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) are made from, for example, used cooking oil and frying fat, biomass and animal fats. SAF currently accounts for less than 1 percent of aviation fuel consumption. The price is two to four times higher than regular kerosene. SAF is now mixed with regular fuel.
SAF is seen as an important way for aviation to reduce net carbon dioxide emissions. The international aviation organization IATA wants to be CO2 neutral by 2050. The use of fuel that consists entirely of SAF can contribute 85 percent to this, but also hydrogen and synthetic fuels.
IATA CEO Willie Walsh says that this involves high costs. Passengers will notice this in ticket prices. "Passengers will have to pay more for tickets. We have to be fair with customers. Airlines are not in a financial position to absorb those costs, so that will be passed on to customers," said Walsh.
IATA and lobby organization Airlines 4 Europe of European airlines are constantly urging the European Commission to do more to stimulate the production of SAF. In regulations recently adopted by the European Parliament, it has been agreed that the fuel industry will be obliged to supply more SAF. From 2025, airlines will gradually be required to use more SAF. That can bring the price down again.
A study published on Monday by the European interest group Transport & Environment states that the costs of new fuels will lead to significantly higher operational costs for airlines until 2050. SAF will increase these by 24 percent, synthetic fuels or e-fuels will increase them by 25 percent and hydrogen will increase them by 27 percent.
All costs combined for the production and transport of hydrogen plus the design of a hydrogen aircraft until 2050 are calculated in the study at 299 billion euros. One way to bring those costs down is to fly less, so that less hydrogen is needed. And the European Union, but also Great Britain, must subsidize the production of hydrogen and tax the use of kerosene more heavily.