• Weekly Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity, 30 March - 05 Apri

    From SWPC.Webmaster@3:633/10 to All on Mon Apr 6 13:00:04 2026
    Subject: Weekly Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity, 30 March - 05 April 2026

    :Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
    :Issued: 2026 Apr 06 0211 UTC
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    # Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
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    Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
    30 March - 05 April 2026

    Solar activity reached high levels on 30 Mar and 04 Apr, moderate
    levels on 02-03 Apr, with low levels observed on 31 Mar, 01 Apr, and
    5 Apr.

    Region 4409 (N02, L=156, class/area=Eai/170 on 04 Apr) was the most
    active of the period, producing 50 C-class flares and six M-class
    flares. Region 4405 (S27, L=220, class/area=Eai/220 on 02 Apr) added
    the strongest flare of the period, an X1.4/Sf flare, on 30 Mar at
    0319 UTC. Accompanying the flare was a Type II radio sweep
    (estimated velocity 1872 km/s) and a partial halo CME first seen in
    LASCO C2 imagery at 30/0312 UTC. Expected impacts from this CME were
    on 01 Apr. Region 4409 also produced a C8.1 flare at 01/1958 UTC.
    Accompanying this flare was a filament eruption and subsequent CME
    that had a likely Earth-directed trajectory with impacts likely felt
    on 03-04 Apr.

    Slightly elevated proton levels were observed from 01-05 Apr, but
    conditions remained below alert thresholds throughout the period.

    The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
    high levels throughout most of the period of 30 Mar - 05 Apr, with a
    peak flux value of 6,000 pfu observed at 05/1645 UTC. The only
    exception was on 02 Apr when conditions dropped to moderate levels
    for that 24 hour reporting period.

    Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to G3 (Strong) storm
    levels during the 30 Mar - 05 Apr period. Quiet to unsettled levels
    were observed on 30 Mar - 01 Apr, and most of 05 Apr (aside from an
    isolated active period at the beginning of the UT day). Conditions
    increased to active to G2 (Moderate) levels on 02 Apr following the
    onset of a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH
    HSS). Conditions remained at active to G1 (Minor) levels through
    midday on 03 Apr when they increased to G3 (Strong) levels with the
    arrival of the anticipated CME from 01 Apr (C8.1 flare and filament
    eruption). Conditions then decreased to G1 levels to start 04 Apr,
    before decreasing to quiet to active conditions lasting through 05
    Apr.

    Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
    06 April - 02 May 2026

    Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a varying
    chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares, and a slight
    chance for X-Class (R3/Strong) flares from 06 Apr through 02 May.

    No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring any
    significant, non-recurrent solar activity.

    The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
    expected to reach high levels on 06-09 Apr, 11-16 Apr, and 18 Apr-02
    May. Normal to moderate flux levels are expected on 10 and 17 Apr.

    Geomagnetic field activity is anticipated to reach G1/G2
    (Minor/Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 18-19, and 29 Apr due
    to the influence of negative polarity CH HSS (-CH HSS). Periods of
    G1 (Minor) storming are likely on 04 April in response to a negative
    polarity CH HSS (-CH HSS). Unsettled to Active levels are expected
    on 06-07 Apr, 20-22 Apr, and 30 Apr, as well as 01-02 May associated
    with negative polarity CH HSS effects. On 10-13 and 25-26 April,
    positive polarity CH HSS influences are expected to bump geomagnetic
    conditions to unsettled to active levels. Mostly quiet levels are
    expected during all other days of the period.


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