-
OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Fri Aug 9 10:04:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 091149
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the Mid-Atlantic region.
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the tropical Atlantic. Any
development of the wave should be slow to occur during the next
couple of days while it moves westward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development while the wave moves west-northwestward,
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the
system approaches the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast
to continue moving generally west-northwestward and could approach
the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sat Aug 10 09:53:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Gradual development of
this system is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the early to middle part of next week while the system
approaches and then moves near or over the Lesser Antilles. The
system is forecast to continue moving generally west-northwestward
and could approach portions of the Greater Antilles by the middle to
latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Aug 11 07:42:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next couple of days while the system approaches and then moves near
or over the Leeward Islands. Interests on these islands should
continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches
or warnings could be required for portions of the area as soon as
later today. The system could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Mon Aug 12 10:05:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121124
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Five, located a few hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five are issued
under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five are issued
under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Aug 27 09:04:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 271126
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
this system this weekend into early next week as it moves westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Aug 28 09:27:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of
Bermuda is producing a small area of disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Dry air and strong upper-level winds are
expected to limit additional development of this system during the
next day or so while the low moves northward to north-northeastward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
the system this weekend into early next week while it moves westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Thu Aug 29 10:01:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 291133
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic Ocean is
producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph and approaches the Lesser Antilles.
The system is then forecast to move westward to west-northwestward
across portions of the eastern Caribbean Sea during the middle part
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Fri Aug 30 10:07:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 301148
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the
central tropical Atlantic remain disorganized. Gradual development
of this system is possible during the next few days, and a tropical
depression could form some time next week while it moves westward,
reaching the Lesser Antilles on Monday and continuing across the
Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm
activity. Some slow development of this system is possible through
late next week while it moves slowly to the west-northwest over the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sat Aug 31 09:46:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 311154
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing
some disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore
the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger
near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development
is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development,
heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of
coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles continues to produce some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and
reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form while it continues moving
westward across the Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part
of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves
slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic through late next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Mahoney
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Mon Sep 2 08:56:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 021136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle
Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity
along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of
the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to meander
for another day or so, and some slow development is possible if it
remains offshore. On Tuesday, the low is forecast to move inland,
and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains
could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty
winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and over
the adjacent eastern Caribbean waters. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development when the system
reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico
late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could
form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave just offshore of the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system
could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Sep 1 09:56:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 011143
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast continues to
produce some shower and thunderstorm activity along and just
offshore of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is
expected to linger near the coast for the next several days, and
some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Regardless
of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across
portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in
organization since yesterday. Some slow development is possible as
the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
Monday. The wave is expected to move across the central and western
Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form during that time. Regardless of development,
this system could result in some gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Sep 3 08:38:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 031153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea.
This system is expected to move westward, and a tropical depression
could form when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea and the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
a tropical depression could form later this week while the
disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce
locally heavy rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about midway between the west coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward. By
the end of the week, however, environmental conditions are expected
to become unfavorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/R. Zelinsky
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Sep 4 09:49:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 041151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
near southeastern Cuba, Jamaica, and across portions of the central
Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible late this week when the
wave slows down over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next
week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about 800 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also
producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy rains
across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Thu Sep 5 08:47:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing widespread disorganized
showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico,
including near the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. Upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive for development by
Friday and Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches the system.
Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected
across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or
so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms to the northeast and east of its center. This system
could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next couple
of days while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining
offshore of the northeastern United States. Once the low moves
over cooler waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development
is not expected. Additional information on this system, including
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it drifts northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased slightly in
association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the
western Caribbean Sea. Significant development appears unlikely
before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early
Friday. Some development is possible late in the weekend into early
next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the
Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development
of this system during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow
development while the system moves west-northwestward over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Fri Sep 6 08:12:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 061153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system and
weak frontal boundary over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remain
disorganized. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable
for significant development of this system while it meanders over
the northwestern Gulf and eventually merges with another approaching
frontal system later today or on Saturday. Although tropical
cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to
continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next
day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northwestern Atlantic (AL99):
Satellite images indicate that a gale-force low pressure system
located several hundred miles east of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast
is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are
increasingly taking on a non-tropical structure. The low is
forecast to move north-northeastward at 15 to 20 mph offshore the
northeastern United States, reaching colder waters by this evening
and overnight, and its opportunity to acquire subtropical
characteristics appears to be decreasing. Additional information
on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located near the coast of Belize and the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move across Central
America and southeastern Mexico today and tonight, and some slow
development is possible over the weekend after the system emerges
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical
Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the disturbance
meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to
move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during
the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Sep 8 08:14:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081248 CCA
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024
Corrected category for the 48 hour probability for AL92
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association
with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico. This system is forecast to drift slowly northwestward
during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are
expected to become conducive for additional development. A tropical
depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the
system moves generally northwestward and then northward near or
along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of the
week. Interests along the western and northwestern Gulf Coast should
closely monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be
required for portions of the western Gulf coast later today or
tonight. An Air-Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is also
scheduled to investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low
pressure over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show some
signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form while the system meanders over the central tropical
Atlantic through Monday and then begins to move generally westward
at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very
little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts
with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of
Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected
to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the
week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Sep 8 12:59:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 081754
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 8 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico continues to produce a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Satellite-derived winds show this system does not yet
have a well-defined center, but is producing winds of 40 to 45 mph
on its western side. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development and a tropical storm is expected to form
during the next day or so. The system is forecast to move generally northwestward and then northward near or along the Gulf coast of
Mexico, upper Texas, and Louisiana coasts with additional
strengthening possible by the middle of this week.
Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas, and Louisiana
coasts should closely monitor the progress of this system. Tropical
Storm Watches could be required for portions of the coast of
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later this afternoon or
tonight, with additional watches possible along the coast of Texas
and Louisiana later tonight or Monday. An Air-Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently in route to to investigate
the system this afternoon. Additional information on this system,
including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
over the central tropical Atlantic continue to show signs of
organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression is now likely to form during that time
while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By
the middle of this week the system should begin moving more westward
at around 10 mph through the rest of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move very
little during the next couple of days until it potentially interacts
with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of
Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions thereafter are expected
to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of the
week while the system begins moving slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Mon Sep 9 09:14:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 091107
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Six, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are marginally conducive for development during the next
few days, and a tropical depression could form while the system
meanders over the central tropical Atlantic. By the middle part of
the week, the system is forecast to move westward-northwestward at
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. In a couple of days,
this trough is expected to interact with an approaching tropical
wave. Afterward, Environmental conditions appear favorable for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form during the middle to latter part of this week while the system
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Sep 10 08:38:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 101131
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Francine, located in the Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles
offshore of northeastern Mexico.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only
marginally conducive for some slight development during the next
couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during
that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to interact and merge with a
strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and
the Cabo Verde Islands over the next couple of days. Thereafter,
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of
this combined system, and a tropical depression will likely form
during the latter part of this week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Sep 11 12:55:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 111742
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Francine, located just south of Louisiana, and on newly formed
Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally
conducive for some slight development during the next day or two
while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an
area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its
chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several
hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing
limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The proximity of dry
air near the system is expected to limit additional development
over the next couple of days before environmental conditions
become even less conducive by this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the
southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or
tropical development is possible during the early part of next week
while the system drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
$$
Forecaster Bann/Blake
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Sep 11 20:37:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 112349
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical
Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic
continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or so while the system moves
westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The
disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level
winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air
near the system is expected to limit additional development over the
next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less
conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Thu Sep 12 08:46:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 121152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi,
and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic
Ocean.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of
the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves
westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in
association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry
air near the system is expected to limit additional development
over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected
to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system
moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Fri Sep 13 08:25:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 131135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Seven, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Francine, located inland over northeastern Arkansas.
Northern Leeward Islands (AL94):
Surface observations indicate a small area of low pressure is
located over the northern Leeward Islands. The system continues to
produce showers and thunderstorms this morning, but they have not
become any better organized. Environmental conditions, including the
proximity of dry air, do not favor development of this system while
it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible
across the northern Leeward Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a frontal
boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline
this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
moves generally northwestward toward the coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sat Sep 14 08:52:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 141119
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend
along a frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. The system could gradually acquire subtropical or
tropical characteristics thereafter over the warm waters of the Gulf
Stream, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm could form
early next week while the system moves generally northwestward
toward the coast. Additional information on this system can be found
in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly/Mahoney
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Sep 15 08:53:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 151137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Offshore the Southeastern U.S. Coast (AL95):
A non-tropical low pressure area is located along a frontal
boundary a couple of hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast,
and is producing winds to gale force north of its center. The low
is forecast to move northwestward or northward over the warm waters
of the Gulf Stream toward the coasts of North Carolina and South
Carolina, and it could become a subtropical or tropical storm during
the next day or two if the associated front dissipates and showers
and thunderstorms become sufficiently organized.
Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, the low is
likely to bring gusty winds, heavy rains with the potential for
flash flooding, coastal flooding, and dangerous beach conditions to
portions of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coast during the
next couple of days, and interests in these areas should monitor
the system's progress. Additional information can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Mon Sep 16 08:38:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 161148
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Eight, located off the coast of the Carolinas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Sep 18 09:20:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 181131
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized over the central
tropical Atlantic in association with the remnants of Gordon. This
system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its
northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the
next couple of days. Environmental conditions could become more
conducive for development later this week, and a tropical depression
or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly
northward over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early
next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some
slow development of this system is possible through the middle
of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Thu Sep 19 08:09:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 191140
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the
central subtropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of
Gordon. Some development of this system is possible while it
moves generally northward over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 750 miles southeast of
Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but some
development of this system is possible while it meanders over the
open waters of the central or western Subtropical Atlantic though
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the
western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico
through the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Fri Sep 20 09:56:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 201142
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
An area of low pressure, associated with the remnants of Gordon, is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than a
thousand miles southwest of the Azores. Due to strong upper-level
winds, any additional development of this system is expected to be
slow to occur while it meanders over the central subtropical
Atlantic during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has
changed little in organization over the past several hours.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some
development of this system during the next couple of days while it
drifts northwestward at about 5 mph over the central or western
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle
part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter,
gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical
depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or
northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern
Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sat Sep 21 09:54:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 211152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Strong upper-level winds continue to keep showers and thunderstorms
displaced away from the center of an area of low pressure (the
remnants of Gordon) located over one thousand miles southwest of the
Azores. Significant development of this system is not expected
while it moves slowly northwestward over the central subtropical
Atlantic during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located about 700 miles northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions do not appear
conducive for significant development of this system during the next
couple of days while it drifts northwestward and then northward at
about 5 mph over the central or western subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to form by the early to
middle part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and across the Gulf of
Mexico through the end of next week. Regardless of development,
this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of
Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of
Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual development of this system is
possible next week as it moves west-northwestward over the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Sep 22 08:38:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 221151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has not
become better organized since yesterday. Although the low remains
embedded in a very dry environment, a short-lived tropical
depression cannot be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become
better organized while the system moves generally northward at 5 to
10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western
Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America are associated with a
very broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for gradual development of this system during the next
several days. A tropical depression is likely to form while the
system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea
and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over
portions of Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is expected to move
westward during the next several days. Environmental conditions
could support some gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of
the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Mon Sep 23 08:59:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for further development of this system. A tropical
depression or storm is likely to form within the next day or two as
the system moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, where additional development
is expected.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.
Interests in the northwestern Caribbean, the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico, and western Cuba should closely monitor the progress of this
system, as watches or warnings will likely be required later
this morning for portions of these areas. Later this week, the
system is forecast to move generally northward across the eastern
Gulf of Mexico, and interests along the northern and northeastern
Gulf Coast should also closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located between western Africa and the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the middle to latter part of this week while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Sep 24 08:23:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 241153
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Nine, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located near the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Sep 25 09:34:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 251152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Helene, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
A broad low pressure system associated with a tropical wave located
west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward
to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL99):
A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located several
hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda. The system is currently
producing winds up to storm force, and environmental conditions
could support some subtropical or tropical development over the next
several days as the system moves generally eastward, remaining over
the open waters of central Subtropical Atlantic. Additional
information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sat Sep 28 09:04:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 281138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 28 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Isaac, located several hundred miles east of the Azores, and on
Tropical Storm Joyce, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene, located inland over the Ohio River
Valley.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure, associated with a
tropical wave, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
near and to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle
part of next week while the system moves toward the west and then
northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea in
a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for additional development thereafter while the system moves
generally northwestward, and a tropical depression could form during
the middle to latter part of next week as the system enters the Gulf
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)
-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
All on Sat Oct 5 07:47:00 2024
ABNT20 KNHC 051122
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
Gulf of Mexico (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually
becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected,
and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or
on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move
faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf
of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on
the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida
Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of
this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could
occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over
much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible
thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the
eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or
over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests
there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)